If you’ve ever played blackjack online or live, you’ll know there are two basic moves: hit and stand. However, in certain instances, you’ll have the option to double down. This is an extra move that costs money but allows you to increase your potential win rate in advantageous situations. Like all “extras”, the double down in blackjack is optional. However, once you understand what it is and when to double down in blackjack, it can be a powerful tool to have in your arsenal.
What is Doubling Down in Blackjack?
Doubling down in blackjack is the process of adding another bet to the table in order to receive a single card. Now, that’s the basic answer. However, the acting of doubling down actually means more than making an extra bet. To keep things simple, let’s call the blackjack double down move an advantage play.
Whenever you double down in blackjack, it’s because the game dynamics are weighed in your favour. We’ll cover what this means in the following subsections. However, in answering the question “what does doubling down mean in blackjack?”, we have to acknowledge that it’s more than a betting option. Therefore, to give a complete answer, we can make the following statement:
Doubling down in blackjack require the player to make an extra bet and receive one additional card. This move is commonly made when the player is in an advantageous position i.e. they have a strong chance of making a total of close to or 21 exactly, and the dealer’s up-card is weak.
When the Blackjack Double Down is an Advantage for the Player
If we accept that the double down blackjack move is an advantage play, we have to ascertain why this is the case. Firstly, we need some rules for when to double down in blackjack. As a basic guide, you need the following to be true:
- You have a two-card starting total that’s likely to make a score of 20 or 21 e.g. your starting total is 10 or 11.
- The dealer has a weak up-card e.g. a 3, 4, 5 or 6.
If the following two conditions are present, you’re in a strong position as the player. Whenever you’re in this type of position, it’s important to press home your advantage. In this case, that means adding more money to the table.
By paying to double down in blackjack (the cost is equal to your opening bet), you’re giving yourself the chance to maximise your returns when you’re strong and the dealer is weak. Over time, this should improve your overall win rate which, of course, is what you want when you’re playing for money.
When the Blackjack Double Down is a Disadvantage
Like all advantage plays in the casino world, there are some downsides to doubling down. Obviously, you are risking more money because you have to match your opening bet. However, the major disadvantage of blackjack double down rules is that you only receive one card. Therefore, you may finish with a poor total.
For example, if your starting total was 11, you could hit and receive a 3. This takes your total to 14 which, in most cases, isn’t worth standing on. At this point, you could hit again and try to improve your score. In contrast, if you doubled down on 11 and received a 3, that’s your lot. In other words, you’re stuck with 14. That’s the risk you take when you make a blackjack double play.
Casino Rules for Doubling Down
Once you know how to double down in blackjack and when the best times to do it are, you need to consider the rules in play. Every casino, moreover, type of blackjack, may have slightly different blackjack double down rules. For example, in some games, you may be able double on any starting total. Others may restrict you to doubling down on totals of 10 and 11.
Other than subtle differences in when to double down in blackjack, the cost will always be the size of your opening bet. So, if you wagered 1 coin, it could cost 1 coin to double. Finally, you will always receive one card only when you double down in blackjack.
What is the Value the Dealer Must Hit and Stand on in Blackjack?
The dealer must always hit a score of 17+ in blackjack. To put it another way, the dealer can’t stand on any total that’s 16 or lower. This rule guides our decision to double down or not. Indeed, we’ve already said that you need the dealer to be “weak” in order to double at the best time. We can say the dealer is weak when they’re showing a 3, 4, 5, or 6 because they have to hit to 17+.
Why is this the case? Because there are more cards with a value of 10 in play than any other, we always have to assume the next card will be worth 10. Therefore, if the dealer is showing a 5, we know their best score can be 16 (i.e. if their hidden card is an ace). With that being true, they will have to draw a third card. Whenever you draw in blackjack, there’s some risk involved. Thus, we can say the dealer is weak with a 5.
Blackjack Bust Percentage
Of course, we can’t always assume the dealer will go bust. In fact, according to the numbers, the dealer’s blackjack bust percentage on any given hand is 28.36%. However, the closer we move to up-cards worth 4, 5, or 6, the greater their chance of busting becomes. For example, with an ace, the bust chance is 11.65%. However, with a 6, the chance is 42.08%. Therefore, when it comes to defining rules for when to double down in blackjack, you want to ensure the dealer’s chance of busting is high.
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 2
- Dealer Average Percentage: 35%
- Player Average Percentage: 10%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 3
- Dealer Average Percentage: 37%
- Player Average Percentage: 13%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 4
- Dealer Average Percentage: 40%
- Player Average Percentage: 18%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 5
- Dealer Average Percentage: 42%
- Player Average Percentage: 23%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 6
- Dealer Average Percentage: 42%
- Player Average Percentage: 24%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 7
- Dealer Average Percentage: 26%
- Player Average Percentage: 14%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 8
- Dealer Average Percentage: 24%
- Player Average Percentage: 5%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 9
- Dealer Average Percentage: 23%
- Player Average Percentage: -4%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: 10
- Dealer Average Percentage: 23%
- Player Average Percentage: -17%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: J, Q, K
- Dealer Average Percentage: 23%
- Player Average Percentage: -17%
- Dealer's Face UP Card: Ace
- Dealer Average Percentage: 17%
- Player Average Percentage: -16%